Welcome to CIEM42X0 Probabilistic Design
This website is for the 2022-23 academic year and is no longer maintained. Current HOS students should visit Brightspace or contact Robert Lanzafame directly.
CIEM42X0 is a unit that is part of three B modules (CIEM4210, CIEM4220, CIEM4230) offered in Q4 of the Hydraulic and Offshore Structures (HOS) track in the Civil Engineering MSc program at TU Delft.
This page shows the most recent announcement and the calendar. For more information check the appropriate pages on the left. Links to Brightspace and the course textbooks are at the top.
WS5 Posted
Workshop 5 is prepared and hosted by Timo Schweckendiek from Deltares. It is the second of two workshops on system reliability: after a brief introduction to event trees, a case study (a safety assessment of pipeline failure in dikes) will be introduced, after which you will work in groups. Files for completing the exercise will be posted to the course website here at the beginning of class.
Calendar
See Calendar page for explanation of lecture halls, course structure and notation.
Week 1
- April 24
- Introduction: Probabilistic Design Unit
- Module and unit introduced on Monday in other units
- Start HW 1 Reliability Analysis Introduction
- HOS-PD-1, ADK-4
- Start HW 1 anytime during week 1; TA Fri by request.
- Module and unit introduced on Monday in other units
- April 26
- Students in: CIEM4220 Dams, Dikes and Breakwaters
- Wed 13:45, Hall C (Antonini)
- At minimum, read HOS-EVA-1.2.
- Wed 13:45, Hall C (Antonini)
- April 28
In-Class SessionCancelled
- Start HW 2 Extreme Value Analysis
- HOS-EVA-all
- Holidays
- Thursday (King’s Day)
Week 2
- May 4
- Optional lecture: Floods & Droughts: Hydrological Forcing (Ragno).
- Lecture in Rivers unit of HE track (Thu 10:45-12:30, Hall C)
- Collegerama link and slides provided after lecture.
- Lecture in Rivers unit of HE track (Thu 10:45-12:30, Hall C)
- Holidays
- Friday (Liberation Day); no lecture, work on HW 1 and 2
Week 3
- May 12
- Workshop Extreme Value Analysis
- HOS-EVA-all
- Start HW 3 Component Reliability
- ADK-3.6, 6.1-6.3, 6.5
- Holidays
- None
Week 4
- Holidays
- Thursday & Friday (Ascention Day); no lecture, work on HW 3
Week 5
- May 24
- Question Hour HW 3 (Benjamin) 15:00-16:30. Room: TBD. May 26
- In-Class Session HW 3 Due
- Workshop Component Reliability
- Start HW 4 Component Reliability, Part 2
- ADK-6.6-6.8
- Holidays
- None
Week 6
- June 2
- In-Class Session HW 4 Due
- Workshop Component Reliability 2
- Start HW 5 System Reliability
- ADK-8.1-8.4, 8.6, 8.9
- Holidays
- Monday (Pentecost)
Week 7
- June 9
- In-Class Session HW 5 Due
- Workshop System Reliability 1: Fault Tree Case Study
- Continue HW 5 System Reliability
- ADK-8.1-8.4, 8.6, 8.9
- Holidays
- None
Week 8
- June 16
- Workshop System Reliability 2: Event Tree Case Study (T. Schweckendiek)
- Course Closure
- Holidays
- None